BROOKINGS
BY RICHARD NEPHEW
The possibility of a rapid Iranian nuclear breakout has long consumed the United States government, its international partners, and interested observers outside of government. Iran’s acquisition of nuclear weapons would fundamentally threaten states throughout the Middle East and beyond, as well as upset global nuclear nonproliferation efforts. Moreover, as a benchmark for a nuclear deal with Iran, breakout timelines are usefully quantitative, permitting ready comparisons between scenarios.
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